Rijeka
0 - 2
PAOK

(PAOK win 3-1 on aggregate)

Abass (14'), Galovic (50'), Drmic (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

El Kaddouri (11'), Murg (80')
Taylor (17'), Swiderski (60'), Murg (89')

Coverage of the Conference League Qualifying Playoffs clash between HNK Rijeka and PAOK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	PAOK
29.46%	23.79%	46.75%

Both teams to score 59.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.66%

42.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.26%

64.74%

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8%

27.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38%

62.61%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68%

18.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.59%

49.41%

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 29.46%

PAOK 46.75%

Draw 23.79%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	PAOK
2-1 @ 7.17% 1-0 @ 6.49% 2-0 @ 4.22% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.46%	1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.79%	1-2 @ 9.34% 0-1 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 5.29% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 3.44% 1-4 @ 2.24% 0-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.55% Total : 46.75%