MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 20:31:39
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Thursday, November 21
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Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 10, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
AA

Rijeka
2 - 1
AZ

Menalo (51'), Tomecak (90+3')
Menalo (28'), Capan (38'), Loncar (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wijndal (57')
Wijndal (38'), Midtsjo (45'), Stengs (82')
Karlsson (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawAZ Alkmaar
28.71%24.79%46.5%
Both teams to score 55.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.76%47.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53%69.47%
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78%30.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62%66.38%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62%20.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21%52.79%
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 28.71%
    AZ Alkmaar 46.5%
    Draw 24.79%
HNK RijekaDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 7.37%
2-1 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 28.71%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-2 @ 7.79%
1-3 @ 4.94%
0-3 @ 4.13%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 46.5%

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