SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for KF Tirana had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a KF Tirana win it was 1-0 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KF Tirana | Draw | Besiktas |
24% ( 0.08) | 24.36% ( 0) | 51.65% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.07% ( 0.06) | 48.93% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.98% ( 0.05) | 71.02% ( -0.05) |
| KF Tirana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% ( 0.1) | 34.88% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.38% ( 0.11) | 71.62% ( -0.1) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( -0.01) | 18.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% ( -0.01) | 50.44% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| KF Tirana | Draw | Besiktas |
| 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 24% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.65% |
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