Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for KF Tirana had a probability of 9.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a KF Tirana win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
