SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Besiktas |
26.88% ( 0.65) | 23.6% ( 0.59) | 49.52% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.81% ( -2.18) | 43.19% ( 2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( -2.18) | 65.59% ( 2.19) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -0.65) | 29.46% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.54% ( -0.81) | 65.46% ( 0.81) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( -1.27) | 17.56% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% ( -2.25) | 48.11% ( 2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.28% Total : 26.88% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.48)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.8% Total : 49.52% |
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