Saturday's game sees two in-form teams battle it out and we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we fancy Besiktas coming away with all three points to keep their top-two charge alive.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
0.65) 
-1.24) 
