SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 58.65%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 21.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 0-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
21.08% ( -0.1) | 20.27% ( -0.02) | 58.65% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.26% ( -0.06) | 33.74% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.43% ( -0.06) | 55.57% ( 0.06) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( -0.12) | 28.96% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( -0.15) | 64.85% ( 0.15) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.61% ( 0.01) | 11.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.88% ( 0.03) | 36.12% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 21.08% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.35% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.65% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.02% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 58.65% |
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