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Europa Conference League | Qualifying Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 26, 2021 at 6pm UK
Sammy Ofer Stadium

Maccabi Haifa
4 - 0
Neftchi Baku

Menachem (20'), Atzili (45+2'), Haziza (52' pen.), Abu Fani (69')
Strain (8'), Dahan (28'), Haziza (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Muradbayli (45+4'), Mahmudov (52'), Kane (54')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Qualifying Playoffs clash between Maccabi Haifa and Neftchi Baku.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.

Result
Maccabi HaifaDrawNeftchi Baku
49.99%25.25%24.75%
Both teams to score 50.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09%51.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.34%73.65%
Maccabi Haifa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22%20.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58%53.42%
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16%35.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38%72.62%
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Haifa 49.99%
    Neftchi Baku 24.75%
    Draw 25.25%
Maccabi HaifaDrawNeftchi Baku
1-0 @ 11.7%
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 9.19%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 49.99%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 24.75%

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