Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.
