SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neftchi Baku | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 29.23% | 22.64% | 48.12% |
| Both teams to score 63.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.99% | 37.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Neftchi Baku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% | 24.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% | 15.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.13% | 44.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Neftchi Baku | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% 1-0 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.23% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 3.89% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-1 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 5.72% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 4% 1-4 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.84% Total : 48.12% |
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