Neftchi Baku
0 - 1
Olympiacos

(Olympiacos win 2-0 on aggregate)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Masouras (15')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Neftchi Baku and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
Neftchi Baku	Draw	Olympiacos
29.23%	22.64%	48.12%

Both teams to score 63.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.99%

37.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.8%

59.2%

Neftchi Baku Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.33%

24.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.8%

59.2%

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.24%

15.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.13%

44.87%

Score Analysis

Neftchi Baku 29.23%

Olympiacos 48.12%

Draw 22.64%

Neftchi Baku	Draw	Olympiacos
2-1 @ 7.04% 1-0 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.23%	1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 3.89% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.64%	1-2 @ 9.29% 0-1 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 5.72% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 4% 1-4 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.84% Total : 48.12%