Another closely-fought contest is set to be played out on Thursday, although Basaksehir will head into the second leg as the favourites to progress.
While the hosts will fancy their chances on home soil, we feel that the visitors will have enough quality in their side to secure a narrow win in Israel.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Maccabi Netanya had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Maccabi Netanya win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Istanbul Basaksehir in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Istanbul Basaksehir.
0.5) 
-0.61) 
