Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
MFA Centenary Stadium
de Jesus Messias (46')
Muscat (17'), Gueye (90'), Drobnjak (90+3'), Aguirre (90+8'), Mba (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cara (48'),
Keko (90+3')
Mehmeti (41'), Gueye (76'), Drobnjak (90+6'), Bintsouka (90+8')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Marsaxlokk and Partizani Tirana.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Marsaxlokk had a probability of 11.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.75%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Marsaxlokk win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partizani Tirana would win this match.
| Result |
| Marsaxlokk | Draw | Partizani Tirana |
11.86% ( 0.07) | 20.2% ( 0.02) | 67.93% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 42.29% ( 0.15) |
| 49.29% ( 0.08) | 50.71% ( -0.08) |
| 27.39% ( 0.07) | 72.61% ( -0.07) |
| 49.15% ( 0.17) | 50.85% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.76% ( 0.12) | 85.24% ( -0.12) |
| 86.04% ( -0) | 13.96% ( 0) |
