Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Astana had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
