Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valmiera win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Partizani Tirana had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valmiera win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Partizani Tirana win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
