SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Larne had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Larne win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Larne |
74.15% ( 0.19) | 15.8% ( 0.13) | 10.05% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( -1.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.03% ( -1.76) | 35.96% ( 1.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.94% ( -1.96) | 58.06% ( 1.96) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.72% ( -0.38) | 8.28% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.1% ( -0.96) | 28.9% ( 0.95) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.39% ( -1.85) | 44.61% ( 1.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.38% ( -1.53) | 80.62% ( 1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Larne |
| 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.58) 3-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.22)5-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.18)6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.76% Total : 74.15% | 1-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.95% Total : 15.8% | 1-2 @ 3% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.86% Total : 10.05% |
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