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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
60.4% ( -0.27) | 21.19% ( 0.04) | 18.41% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.85% ( 0.19) | 42.15% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( 0.19) | 64.55% ( -0.19) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% ( -0.02) | 13.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.41% ( -0.04) | 40.59% ( 0.04) |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( 0.38) | 36.52% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% ( 0.37) | 73.3% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 60.4% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 18.41% |
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