SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln Red Imps win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Larne had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln Red Imps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Larne |
40.82% ( -2.59) | 26.18% ( 0.13) | 32.99% ( 2.45) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.58% ( 0.24) | 51.42% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.77% ( 0.21) | 73.23% ( -0.21) |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -1.2) | 24.85% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( -1.69) | 59.44% ( 1.69) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% ( 1.78) | 29.39% ( -1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.62% ( 2.13) | 65.37% ( -2.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.58)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.82% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.99% |
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