SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Neman |
31.43% ( -0.1) | 27.1% ( 0.05) | 41.47% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% ( -0.23) | 55.49% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% ( -0.19) | 76.68% ( 0.19) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( -0.19) | 32.51% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( -0.21) | 69.04% ( 0.21) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( -0.08) | 26.36% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.49% ( -0.11) | 61.51% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.43% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.47% |
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