Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Opus Arena
Matkovic (65', 79'), Mierez (76')
Nejasmic (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and NK Lokomotiva.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
| Result |
| Osijek | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
42.69% ( 0.15) | 26.94% ( 0.04) | 30.37% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( -0.18) |
| 44.78% ( -0.2) | 55.22% ( 0.21) |
| 23.55% ( -0.17) | 76.45% ( 0.17) |
| 74.4% ( -0.02) | 25.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.52% ( -0.02) | 60.48% ( 0.03) |
| 66.88% ( -0.23) | 33.12% ( 0.24) |
