SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | Osijek |
19.41% ( -0.73) | 23.6% ( -0.05) | 56.99% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 48.95% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.06% ( -0.72) | 50.93% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.19% ( -0.63) | 72.8% ( 0.63) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.46% ( -1.21) | 40.54% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.85% ( -1.11) | 77.14% ( 1.11) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( 0.02) | 17.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.71% ( 0.04) | 48.29% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gorica | Draw | Osijek |
| 1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.41% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 10.76% ( 0.33)1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.22% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.98% |
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