Neither team has been in free-scoring form recently and so Thursday's second leg is set to be a cagey affair, with Midtjylland looking to hold on to their one-goal advantage.
A low-scoring draw could be on the cards in Thessaloniki, which would be enough to see the visitors progress on aggregate to the last 16.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.