Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 10.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.34%) and 0-3 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 1-0 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PAOK in this match.