Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 70.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 10.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.94%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.