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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 22
Feb 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
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PAOK
2 - 1
Panathinaikos

Ingi Ingason (77'), Sastre (88')
Ingi Ingason (45+3'), Kurtic (45+7'), Mitrita (70'), Zivkovic (73'), Douglas (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Palacios (6')
Alexandropoulos (45+7'), Ioannidis (45+7'), Velez (47'), Brignoli (60'), Perez (81')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and Panathinaikos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 70.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 10.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.94%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawPanathinaikos
70.2%18.83%10.97%
Both teams to score 43.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72%47.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49%69.51%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.74%12.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.01%37.99%
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.7%50.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.13%84.87%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 70.19%
    Panathinaikos 10.97%
    Draw 18.83%
PAOKDrawPanathinaikos
2-0 @ 13.58%
1-0 @ 12.94%
3-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 6.53%
4-0 @ 4.99%
4-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.24%
5-0 @ 2.09%
5-1 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 70.19%
1-1 @ 8.89%
0-0 @ 6.17%
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 18.83%
0-1 @ 4.24%
1-2 @ 3.06%
0-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 10.97%

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