Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.48%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.39%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.