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Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
LR

PAOK
2 - 0
Lincoln

Zivkovic (17'), Schwab (55')
Schwab (57'), Biseswar (83'), Lyratzis (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lopes (80'), Toscano (87')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between PAOK and Lincoln Red Imps.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.48%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.39%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawLincoln Red Imps
59.26%25.53%15.21%
Both teams to score 36.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.97%63.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.51%82.49%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52%21.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.48%54.52%
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.94%53.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.31%86.69%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 59.25%
    Lincoln Red Imps 15.21%
    Draw 25.52%
PAOKDrawLincoln Red Imps
1-0 @ 17.52%
2-0 @ 13.48%
2-1 @ 8.54%
3-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.68%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 59.25%
0-0 @ 11.39%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 2.71%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.22%
1-2 @ 3.52%
0-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.21%

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