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Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
FC

PAOK
1 - 2
Copenhagen

Zivkovic (8')
Swiderski (53'), Kurtic (74'), Zivkovic (89')
Michailidis (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ankersen (34'), Biel (50')
Stage (77'), Kristansen (89'), Johnsson (90+1'), Bergmann Johannesson (90+2'), Khotcholava (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between PAOK and Copenhagen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawCopenhagen
38.6%25.21%36.2%
Both teams to score 56.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35%46.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08%68.92%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13%23.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94%58.06%
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83%25.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11%59.89%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 38.6%
    Copenhagen 36.2%
    Draw 25.21%
PAOKDrawCopenhagen
1-0 @ 8.61%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.6%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.29%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 0.93%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 36.2%

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