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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Floriana win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Floriana win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Petrocub Hincesti win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | Floriana |
34.75% ( -0.05) | 23.68% ( -0) | 41.57% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.34% ( 0.01) | 39.66% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.99% ( 0.01) | 62.01% ( -0) |
| Petrocub Hincesti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( -0.03) | 22.73% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.6% ( -0.04) | 56.4% ( 0.04) |
| Floriana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% ( 0.03) | 19.41% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.77% ( 0.05) | 51.22% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | Floriana |
| 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 34.75% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 41.57% |
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