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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sahar stadionu

Qabala
2 - 3
Omonia

Allach (4', 62')
Musayev (80'), Allach (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bezus (45+1', 50', 82' pen.)
Coulibaly (24'), Bezus (57'), Kakoullis (87'), Semedo (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Qabala and Omonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Qabala 2-1 Fehervar
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Omonia
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qabala win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Omonia had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qabala win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Omonia win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
QabalaDrawOmonia
40.24% (-0.109 -0.11) 27.34% (0.0019999999999989 0) 32.42% (0.105 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.82% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.18% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)77.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Qabala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)27.35% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)62.81% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Omonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (0.076999999999998 0.08)32.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (0.086000000000002 0.09)68.65% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Qabala 40.23%
    Omonia 32.42%
    Draw 27.34%
QabalaDrawOmonia
1-0 @ 11.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.42%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Qabala 2-1 Fehervar
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fehervar 4-1 Qabala
Thursday, July 21 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 Qabala
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Qabala 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Niederkorn 0-1 Qabala
Thursday, July 19 at 6.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Qabala 0-2 Niederkorn
Thursday, July 12 at 5pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Omonia
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Omonia 0-2 Real Sociedad
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Omonia
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Omonia 2-3 Man Utd
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-1 Omonia
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Omonia 0-3 Sheriff Tiraspol
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League


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