Omonia will be hoping for a manager bounce under Ferrera as they bid to end their Europa League campaign on a high. However, they come up against arguably one of the strongest teams in this season's competition who should have enough quality to secure a routine win on Thursday, despite the absence of a number of key players.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Omonia had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Omonia win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
0.06) 
-0.08) 
