SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 63.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Omonia had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.49%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Omonia win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Omonia | Draw | Manchester United |
14.62% ( -0.15) | 21.59% ( -0.01) | 63.79% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 45.52% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( -0.25) | 50.49% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( -0.22) | 72.42% ( 0.22) |
| Omonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.67% ( -0.38) | 46.33% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.03% ( -0.29) | 81.97% ( 0.29) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( -0.03) | 15.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.19% ( -0.05) | 43.81% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Omonia | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.62% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.59% | 0-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 12.49% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.85% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.04% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 63.78% |
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