Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
