SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Astana had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Astana |
53.63% ( 0.01) | 23.93% ( 0.01) | 22.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.04) | 48.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.04) | 70.8% ( 0.04) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( -0.01) | 18.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51% ( -0.02) | 49% ( 0.02) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.03) | 36.16% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( -0.03) | 72.94% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Astana |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.63% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.44% |
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