SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Astana had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Astana win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Astana | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
35.29% ( 0.01) | 22.56% ( 0.02) | 42.15% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.7% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.06% ( -0.11) | 33.94% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.2% ( -0.13) | 55.8% ( 0.13) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( -0.05) | 19.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.09% ( -0.08) | 51.9% ( 0.08) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% ( -0.05) | 16.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.22% ( -0.1) | 46.78% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Astana | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 42.15% |
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