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Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 24, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Cepheus Park Randers
LL

Randers
1 - 3
Leicester

Odey (84')
Piesinger (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barnes (2'), Maddison (70', 74')
Ndidi (87')

We said: Randers 1-2 Leicester City (Leicester City to win 6-2 on aggregate)

If statistics are anything to go by, you have to expect Leicester to concede at least one goal against their Danish opponents on Thursday evening. Nevertheless, the Premier League side should score further strikes of their own, too, to ensure that they cruise through to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Randers had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Randers win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
RandersDrawLeicester City
36.79%24.29%38.93%
Both teams to score 60.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7%42.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3%64.7%
Randers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15%22.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42%56.58%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24%21.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.05%54.95%
Score Analysis
    Randers 36.79%
    Leicester City 38.93%
    Draw 24.28%
RandersDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 5.42%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 36.79%
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-1 @ 7.58%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 4.34%
2-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.93%

Read more!
Read more!


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