Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leicester City |
32.03% | 24.94% | 43.04% |
Both teams to score 56.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.66% | 46.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.37% | 68.63% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.49% | 27.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.99% | 63.02% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% | 21.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.38% | 54.63% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 7.65% 2-1 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.03% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 4.61% 0-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.5% Total : 43.04% |
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