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Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester
4 - 1
Randers

Ndidi (23'), Barnes (49'), Daka (55'), Dewsbury-Hall (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hammershoj-Mistrati (45')

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Randers

Despite the difference in profiles, we cannot back Leicester to keep a clean sheet right now. However, they should have far too much quality in the final third, leading us to predict a much-needed comfortable win for the Premier League outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Randers had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Randers win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawRanders
58.6%23.5%17.89%
Both teams to score 46.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41%52.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76%74.24%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31%17.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68%48.32%
Randers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.74%43.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.49%79.51%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 58.6%
    Randers 17.89%
    Draw 23.49%
Leicester CityDrawRanders
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 5.56%
4-0 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.01%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 58.6%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.41%
1-2 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 17.89%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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