Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saburtalo Tbilisi win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest FCSB win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saburtalo Tbilisi would win this match.
