SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 76.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Narva Trans had a probability of 7.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.36%) and 0-3 (11.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Narva Trans win it was 1-0 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Pyunik would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Narva Trans | Draw | FC Pyunik |
7.01% ( -0.07) | 16.19% ( -0.14) | 76.8% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 35.78% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( 0.36) | 48.32% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( 0.33) | 70.47% ( -0.33) |
| Narva Trans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.09% ( 0.05) | 59.91% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.39% ( 0.03) | 90.61% ( -0.03) |
| FC Pyunik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.25% ( 0.16) | 10.75% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.28% ( 0.34) | 34.72% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Narva Trans | Draw | FC Pyunik |
| 1-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 7.01% | 1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 16.19% | 0-2 @ 16.01% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 14.36% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 11.9% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 6.64% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)0-6 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 76.78% |
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