SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | FC Pyunik |
46.73% ( -0.38) | 26.14% ( -0.07) | 27.12% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 50.19% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.26% ( 0.55) | 53.74% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.78% ( 0.46) | 75.22% ( -0.46) |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0.06) | 22.97% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( 0.08) | 56.76% ( -0.08) |
| FC Pyunik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% ( 0.67) | 34.84% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% ( 0.7) | 71.58% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | FC Pyunik |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.12% |
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