Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Yerevan Football Academy Stadium
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: FC Pyunik 1-0 FK Zalgiris
Pyunik have been impressive in Europe so far this season, coming agonisingly close to Europa League qualification and beating Cluj across two legs in a huge upset.
As a result, we expect them to continue their form here and get all three points against Zalgiris, although with little separating the two teams, it is likely to be by a narrow margin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Pyunik would win this match.
| Result |
| FC Pyunik | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
37.12% ( -0.11) | 28.42% ( -0.01) | 34.46% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.5% ( 0.05) |
| 40.18% ( 0.05) | 59.82% ( -0.05) |
| 19.9% ( 0.04) | 80.1% ( -0.04) |
| 69.05% ( -0.04) | 30.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.75% ( -0.05) | 67.25% ( 0.05) |
| 67.34% ( 0.11) | 32.66% ( -0.11) |
