SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tre Fiori win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Fola Esch had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tre Fiori win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.84%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Fola Esch win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tre Fiori would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tre Fiori | Draw | Fola Esch |
41.82% ( 0) | 22.51% ( -0) | 35.66% |
| Both teams to score 66.98% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.39% ( 0.02) | 33.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.57% ( 0.02) | 55.43% ( -0.02) |
| Tre Fiori Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( 0.01) | 16.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.23% ( 0.02) | 46.77% ( -0.02) |
| Fola Esch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( 0.01) | 19.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( 0.01) | 51.37% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tre Fiori | Draw | Fola Esch |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.45% Total : 41.82% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.66% |
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