Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kairat win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Fola Esch had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kairat win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Fola Esch win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kairat would win this match.
