SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 24 | 2.40 | Nsame |
| 2 | Grasshopper | 19 | 1.90 | Kawabe |
| 3 | St Gallen | 19 | 1.90 | Gortler |
| 4 | Sion | 17 | 1.70 | Stojilkovic |
| 5 | Lugano | 16 | 1.60 | Celar |
| 6 | Basel | 15 | 1.67 | Burger |
| 7 | Luzern | 14 | 1.56 | Meyer |
| 8 | Servette | 12 | 1.20 | Cognat |
| 9 | Winterthur | 7 | 0.70 | Buess |
| 10 | FC Zurich | 7 | 0.70 | Okita |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaduz | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
33.2% ( 0.18) | 26.9% ( 0.05) | 39.9% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.73% ( -0.15) | 54.28% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% ( -0.12) | 75.67% ( 0.13) |
| Vaduz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( 0.05) | 30.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% ( 0.05) | 66.93% ( -0.05) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.19) | 26.65% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( -0.26) | 61.89% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaduz | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.9% |
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