SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
49.57% ( -0.1) | 24.4% ( -0.01) | 26.02% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( 0.11) | 47.41% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% ( 0.1) | 69.62% ( -0.1) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% ( 0) | 19.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.17% ( 0.01) | 50.83% ( -0.01) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( 0.14) | 32.35% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.14% ( 0.16) | 68.86% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 49.57% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.02% |
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