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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2022 at 11am UK
Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
3 - 0
Metalist Kharkiv

Adamyuk (62'), Dovbyk (66'), Gromov (88')
Tanchyk (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Metalist Kharkiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-1 AZ
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 3-2 Vorskla
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawMetalist Kharkiv
57.68% (0.505 0.5) 23.33% (-0.137 -0.14) 18.99% (-0.366 -0.37)
Both teams to score 49.07% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.58% (0.055 0.05)50.42% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)72.35% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (0.2 0.2)17.23% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.47% (0.353 0.35)47.53% (-0.351 -0.35)
Metalist Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.29% (-0.379 -0.38)40.71% (0.38 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.341 -0.34)77.3% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 57.67%
    Metalist Kharkiv 18.99%
    Draw 23.33%
Dnipro-1DrawMetalist Kharkiv
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 57.67%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-1 AZ
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 2-0 Veres
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-3 Dnipro-1
Sunday, August 28 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Larnaca 3-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, August 25 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-2 Larnaca
Thursday, August 18 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mariupol 0-3 Dnipro-1
Friday, December 10 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 3-2 Vorskla
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 0-0 Chornomorets
Saturday, August 27 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-0 Metalist Kharkiv
Tuesday, August 23 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 2-1 Metalist Kharkiv
Sunday, December 12 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 0-1 Kovalivka
Saturday, December 4 at 5.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 2-0 Metalist Kharkiv
Sunday, November 28 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League


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