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Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 6pm UK
MOL Aréna Sóstó (Székesfehérvár)
KL

Fehervar
0 - 3
FC Koln


Zivzivadze (65'), Heister (68'), Lednev (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hubers (10'), Skhiri (46'), Schindler (90+4')
Ljubicic (45+1'), Kilian (59'), Hector (89'), Schindler (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Fehervar
Thursday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Fehervar 1-2 FC Koln (Koln to win on penalties after tie ends 3-3 on aggregate)

Despite Fehervar's success last week, we have to take into account the circumstances behind the win. That is why we feel that we have to back a win for the Bundesliga outfit, who we think will eventually prevail on penalties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FehervarDrawFC Koln
36.95% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 26.58% (0.067 0.07) 36.46% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.29% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36% (-0.29 -0.29)52.64% (0.286 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.25 -0.25)74.28% (0.247 0.25)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)27.54% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (-0.225 -0.23)63.06% (0.221 0.22)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.146 -0.15)27.83% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (-0.186 -0.19)63.43% (0.183 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Fehervar 36.95%
    FC Koln 36.46%
    Draw 26.58%
FehervarDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.063999999999998 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.95%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Fehervar
Thursday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Petrocub 1-2 Fehervar
Thursday, August 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fehervar 5-0 Petrocub
Thursday, August 4 at 7.55pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Qabala 2-1 Fehervar
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fehervar 4-1 Qabala
Thursday, July 21 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fehervar 1-0 Galatasaray
Wednesday, July 13 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, August 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Fehervar
Thursday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 FC Koln
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 3-1 Schalke
Sunday, August 7 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Jahn 2-2 FC Koln (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, July 16 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1


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