Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for FK Liepaja had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest FK Liepaja win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Young Boys in this match.
