Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for FK Liepaja had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.29%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a FK Liepaja win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.04) 
