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Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
6 - 0
NSI Runavik

Ferguson (37'), Main (43'), Hedges (50', 59', 87' pen.), Hayes (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Troest Davidsen (34'), Hojgaard (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for NSI Runavik had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest NSI Runavik win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawNSI Runavik
38.42%25.87%35.7%
Both teams to score 54.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34%49.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32%71.67%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67%25.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89%60.1%
NSI Runavik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14%26.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83%62.17%
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 38.42%
    NSI Runavik 35.7%
    Draw 25.87%
AberdeenDrawNSI Runavik
1-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 38.42%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.94%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-2 @ 5.88%
1-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.7%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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