Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
