Basel
1 - 3
CSKA Sofia

Arthur (54' pen.)
Padula (49'), Alderete (87'), Comert (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodrigues (72', 88'), Ahmedov (90+7')
Geferson (45'), Galabov (58'), Mazikou (65'), Sankhare (75'), Youga (90+5'), Keita (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa League Playoffs clash between Basel and CSKA Sofia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Basel	Draw	CSKA Sofia
39.85%	25.73%	34.41%

Both teams to score 54.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.77%

49.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.71%

71.28%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63%

24.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22%

58.77%

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.57%

27.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.09%

62.9%

Score Analysis

Basel 39.85%

CSKA Sofia 34.41%

Draw 25.73%

Basel	Draw	CSKA Sofia
1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.85%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.41%