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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 17, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stadion Bâlgarska Armija

CSKA Sofia
2 - 0
BATE

Sowe (44'), Carey (90+5')
Busatto (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yablonski (46'), Filipovic (63'), Dubajic (90+4')
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between CSKA Sofia and BATE Borisov.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
CSKA SofiaDrawBATE Borisov
34.8%26.31%38.89%
Both teams to score 53.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39%51.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6%73.4%
CSKA Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66%28.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92%64.08%
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03%25.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02%60.97%
Score Analysis
    CSKA Sofia 34.8%
    BATE Borisov 38.89%
    Draw 26.31%
CSKA SofiaDrawBATE Borisov
1-0 @ 9.28%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.8%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.89%


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