Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.