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Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
RL

Dortmund
2 - 4
Rangers

Bellingham (51'), Guerreiro (82')
Zagadou (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tavernier (38' pen.), Morelos (41'), Lundstram (49'), Zagadou (54' og.)
McGregor (79')

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Rangers

Both teams will be aiming to establish an early advantage in this first leg, but with Borussia Dortmund having the benefit of being at home, they will likely take all three points, especially with their squad depth. However, Rangers have been in fine form lately, especially from an offensive perspective, which is why they will likely at least get themselves an away goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawRangers
44.97%22.37%32.67%
Both teams to score 66.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.2%33.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.36%55.64%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33%15.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.28%44.72%
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9%21.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07%53.93%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 44.97%
    Rangers 32.67%
    Draw 22.37%
Borussia DortmundDrawRangers
2-1 @ 8.84%
1-0 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-2 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-3 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 9.54%
2-2 @ 6.87%
0-0 @ 3.31%
3-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 7.42%
0-1 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 4%
1-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 32.67%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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